Model line
Richmond −12.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 91%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Richmond home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Richmond a 12.9-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Elon offense vs Richmond defense
| Elon O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#198 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 52.2#136 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 15.9#129 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 32.2#116 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 33.5#224 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 11.2#313 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 54.6#122 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 52.8#135 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 34.3#156 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 71.4#225 | FT% | — |
| 43.2#106 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Richmond offense vs Elon defense
| Richmond O | Stat | Elon D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #19868.0 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #30154.0 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #19316.4 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #30733.5 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #16734.6 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #2048.9 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #28356.1 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #24653.3 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #32436.5 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #3844.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Elon
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | William & Mary201 | L 62–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 57–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Monmouth193 | L 57–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Towson179 | L 56–58 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina A&T300 | L 82–102 |
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
