Model line
East Carolina −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Carolina 63%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
37%Win probability63%
The model makes East Carolina a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Richmond offense vs East Carolina defense
| Richmond O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
East Carolina offense vs Richmond defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
