Model line
Richmond −15.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 94%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Richmond home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Richmond a 15.0-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Asheville offense vs Richmond defense
| UNC Asheville O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#242 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 51.0#196 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 17.4#231 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 29.8#213 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 40.0#60 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 7.7#45 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 40.4#360 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 50.1#250 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 35.1#110 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 68.4#317 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#308 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Richmond offense vs UNC Asheville defense
| Richmond O | Stat | UNC Asheville D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #24267.1 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #17651.3 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #25415.5 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #21831.3 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #28038.7 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #14210.0 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #8148.7 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #23152.8 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #9532.6 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #22038.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Asheville
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | High Point61 | L 71–75 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Longwood214 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Charleston Southern316 | L 75–92 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Gardner Webb352 | W 77–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Radford255 | W 74–73 |
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
