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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UMBC · #285 · AE · 0–0George Washington · #103 · A10 · 0–0Fri, Nov 27 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+Charles E. Smith Center · Washington, DC
Model line
George Washington −19.9
Win probability
George Washington 98%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
George Washington home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes George Washington a 19.9-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UMBC offense vs George Washington defense

UMBC OStatGeorge Washington D
66.5#273Tempo#9570.0
54.1#68eFG%#22852.2
14.0#24TOV%#10717.8
24.9#342ORB%#8428.4
34.1#206FT rate#17835.1
6.4#11Block%#11210.5
44.8#336Assist%#34060.5
54.1#842P%#25953.6
36.1#573P%#16433.7
76.0#53FT%—
38.8#1943PA rate#7143.0

George Washington offense vs UMBC defense

George Washington OStatUMBC D
70.0#95Tempo#27366.5
54.8#47eFG%#8149.4
18.1#278TOV%#28615.1
36.1#25ORB%#1825.8
35.5#163FT rate#1225.7
10.0#237Block%#3286.5
55.5#100Assist%#1143.0
56.4#392P%#8849.6
35.3#993P%#10432.7
72.1#203FT%—
46.7#353PA rate#24637.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UMBC

Tue, Mar 17NHoward164L 83–86
Sat, Mar 14HVermont189W 74–59
Tue, Mar 10HUMass Lowell306W 91–69
Sat, Mar 7HNew Hampshire342W 84–69
Tue, Mar 3ANJIT336W 91–52

George Washington

Sun, Mar 22ANew Mexico66L 61–86
Wed, Mar 18AUtah Valley120W 79–78
Fri, Mar 13NSaint Louis60L 81–88
Thu, Mar 12NFordham111W 66–62
Sat, Mar 7ALoyola Chicago151L 62–68