Model line
Dayton −25.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton >99%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Dayton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Dayton a 25.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southeastern Louisiana offense vs Dayton defense
| Southeastern Louisiana O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#314 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 46.7#344 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 18.4#291 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 28.6#247 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 40.3#57 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 9.7#213 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 51.6#201 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 49.4#275 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 28.4#362 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 68.4#316 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#182 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Southeastern Louisiana defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Southeastern Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #31465.6 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #23652.4 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #4719.1 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #22231.4 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #31541.2 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #2458.3 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #20153.0 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #16151.4 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #30536.0 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #24237.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southeastern Louisiana
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | LSU N Orleans | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Nicholls St.287 | L 60–68 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 75–96 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | L 53–70 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
