Model line
Liberty −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Liberty 51%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Liberty home
49%Win probability51%
The model makes Liberty a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dayton offense vs Liberty defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Liberty offense vs Dayton defense
| Liberty O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
