Model line
Dayton −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 86%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Dayton home
15%Win probability86%
The model makes Dayton a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs Dayton defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs South Florida defense
| Dayton O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
