Model line
Dayton −25.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton >99%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Dayton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Dayton a 25.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Siena offense vs Dayton defense
| Siena O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Siena defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
