Model line
Dayton −31.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Dayton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Dayton a 31.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NJIT offense vs Dayton defense
| NJIT O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#202 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 46.7#342 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 17.1#210 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 26.2#317 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 33.2#232 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 9.0#147 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 45.7#324 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 47.5#323 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 30.4#336 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 70.5#255 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#169 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs NJIT defense
| Dayton O | Stat | NJIT D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #20267.9 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #9850.0 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #21416.2 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #26232.1 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #25837.9 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #2019.0 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #18752.6 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #14851.1 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #8032.3 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #13640.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NJIT
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | Vermont189 | L 54–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Maine337 | W 60–58 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMBC285 | L 52–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bryant320 | L 52–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Vermont189 | L 64–70 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
