Model line
Central Michigan −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Michigan 69%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Central Michigan home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Central Michigan a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Central Michigan offense vs Ball St. defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
