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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Massachusetts · #166 · MAC · 0–0Miami OH · #108 · MAC · 0–0Fri, Mar 5 · 7:00 PM ETMillett Hall · Oxford, OH
Model line
Miami OH −12.2
Win probability
Miami OH 90%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Miami OH home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes Miami OH a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Massachusetts offense vs Miami OH defense

Massachusetts OStatMiami OH D
71.2#45Tempo#5770.9
53.1#98eFG%#16951.2
17.8#259TOV%#12517.4
33.3#83ORB%#9228.7
37.0#130FT rate#6430.2
7.6#35Block%#2628.0
58.4#52Assist%#5047.2
53.2#1212P%#19352.0
35.2#1053P%#12733.1
67.3#339FT%—
35.4#2643PA rate#27736.5

Miami OH offense vs Massachusetts defense

Miami OH OStatMassachusetts D
70.9#57Tempo#4571.2
58.6#7eFG%#26452.9
14.3#32TOV%#16616.8
25.5#331ORB%#1926.1
39.6#65FT rate#34844.6
7.7#38Block%#3216.7
51.4#208Assist%#32958.6
61.0#42P%#31655.4
37.1#263P%#12033.0
74.9#85FT%—
45.6#553PA rate#7842.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Massachusetts

Fri, Mar 13NToledo144L 67–77
Thu, Mar 12NMiami OH108W 87–83
Tue, Mar 3HOhio167W 94–82
Sat, Feb 28ABowling Green192L 62–81
Tue, Feb 24ABall St.220L 73–74

Miami OH

Fri, Mar 20NTennessee11L 56–78
Wed, Mar 18NSMU59W 89–79
Thu, Mar 12NMassachusetts166L 83–87
Fri, Mar 6AOhio167W 110–108
Tue, Mar 3HToledo144W 74–72