Model line
Buffalo −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 78%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Buffalo a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Michigan offense vs Buffalo defense
| Western Michigan O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#150 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 49.9#242 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 16.9#197 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 30.5#182 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 32.8#243 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 11.9#339 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 48.1#285 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 48.1#308 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 35.3#103 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 74.4#109 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#248 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Western Michigan defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Western Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #15069.0 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #31354.4 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #34713.4 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #11829.1 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #25137.5 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2887.6 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #22253.9 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #30054.5 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #30836.1 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #5243.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Kent St.126 | L 78–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ball St.220 | L 71–74 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Miami OH108 | L 67–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Bowling Green192 | W 88–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Central Michigan272 | L 70–83 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
