Model line
Ohio −9.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio 84%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Ohio home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Ohio a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bowling Green offense vs Ohio defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Ohio offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
