Model line
Massachusetts −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 83%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Massachusetts a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bowling Green offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
