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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Buffalo · #191 · MAC · 0–0Eastern Michigan · #176 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 3:30 PM ETGervin GameAbove Center · Ypsilanti, MI
Model line
Eastern Michigan −7.5
Win probability
Eastern Michigan 78%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Eastern Michigan home
22%Win probability78%

The model makes Eastern Michigan a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Buffalo offense vs Eastern Michigan defense

Buffalo OStatEastern Michigan D
67.6#217Tempo#17668.4
55.4#32eFG%#11650.3
16.2#152TOV%#24515.6
27.1#293ORB%#10929.1
39.6#63FT rate#19535.5
8.1#63Block%#9410.9
54.4#128Assist%#15051.3
54.1#822P%#12850.8
37.9#193P%#11232.9
73.6#145FT%—
45.5#573PA rate#30235.6

Eastern Michigan offense vs Buffalo defense

Eastern Michigan OStatBuffalo D
68.4#176Tempo#21767.6
49.6#256eFG%#33355.1
17.4#226TOV%#10317.9
27.8#273ORB%#20431.1
29.3#325FT rate#8931.4
9.7#207Block%#2358.4
47.9#289Assist%#33058.8
50.0#2512P%#34156.9
32.4#2593P%#24935.1
73.2#163FT%—
31.8#3313PA rate#9642.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Buffalo

Thu, Mar 12NAkron100L 70–73
Fri, Mar 6AToledo144L 78–99
Tue, Mar 3HEastern Michigan176W 72–67
Sat, Feb 28HCentral Michigan272L 70–75
Tue, Feb 24AAkron100L 85–99

Eastern Michigan

Fri, Mar 6HBowling Green192L 69–77
Tue, Mar 3ABuffalo191L 67–72
Tue, Feb 24HMiami OH108L 64–74
Sat, Feb 21AToledo144L 75–94
Tue, Feb 17HCentral Michigan272W 66–54