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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Central Michigan · #272 · MAC · 0–0Western Michigan · #173 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 5:00 PM ETUniversity Arena (MI) · Kalamazoo, MI
Model line
Western Michigan −12.8
Win probability
Western Michigan 91%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Western Michigan home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Western Michigan a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Central Michigan offense vs Western Michigan defense

Central Michigan OStatWestern Michigan D
68.3#182Tempo#15069.0
51.8#153eFG%#31354.4
18.1#274TOV%#34713.4
29.2#228ORB%#11829.1
31.4#271FT rate#25137.5
8.8#132Block%#2887.6
54.9#116Assist%#22253.9
52.2#1612P%#30054.5
33.9#1783P%#30836.1
69.7#278FT%—
34.0#2943PA rate#5243.7

Western Michigan offense vs Central Michigan defense

Western Michigan OStatCentral Michigan D
69.0#150Tempo#18268.3
49.9#242eFG%#30054.0
16.9#197TOV%#15217.0
30.5#182ORB%#32234.3
32.8#243FT rate#28439.0
11.9#339Block%#6111.6
48.1#285Assist%#31357.9
48.1#3082P%#28954.4
35.3#1033P%#28035.5
74.4#109FT%—
36.1#2483PA rate#21638.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Central Michigan

Fri, Mar 6ABall St.220L 69–85
Tue, Mar 3HAkron100L 64–77
Sat, Feb 28ABuffalo191W 75–70
Tue, Feb 24AKent St.126L 81–83
Sat, Feb 21HWestern Michigan173W 83–70

Western Michigan

Fri, Mar 6AKent St.126L 78–86
Tue, Mar 3HBall St.220L 71–74
Fri, Feb 27HMiami OH108L 67–69
Tue, Feb 24ABowling Green192W 88–79
Sat, Feb 21ACentral Michigan272L 70–83