Model line
Ohio −8.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio 81%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Ohio home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Ohio a 8.4-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Ohio defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#151 | Tempo | #12970.9 |
| 31.4#239 | eFG% | #17155.6 |
| 21.4#176 | TOV% | #19114.1 |
| 34.9#77 | ORB% | #815.6 |
| 42.4#80 | FT rate | #20451.9 |
| 18.2#215 | Block% | #1746.3 |
| 31.3#230 | Assist% | #8748.1 |
| 50.0#130 | 2P% | #21565.6 |
| 13.5#236 | 3P% | #8227.3 |
| 72.0#94 | FT% | — |
| 62.7#5 | 3PA rate | #12340.7 |
Ohio offense vs Ball St. defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#129 | Tempo | #15170.0 |
| 63.2#25 | eFG% | #5342.5 |
| 18.3#125 | TOV% | #18714.3 |
| 29.0#141 | ORB% | #6525.6 |
| 31.6#152 | FT rate | #23667.9 |
| 5.3#56 | Block% | #1775.9 |
| 75.0#11 | Assist% | #8950.0 |
| 63.2#44 | 2P% | #5944.1 |
| 42.1#41 | 3P% | #7026.3 |
| 77.8#49 | FT% | — |
| 66.7#1 | 3PA rate | #17835.8 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Georgia Southern270 | L 55–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan269 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan206 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois292 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts143 | W 74–73 |
Ohio
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | South Alabama272 | W 86–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.157 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH107 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts143 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo154 | L 67–79 |
