Model line
Toledo −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 88%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Toledo home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Toledo a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bowling Green offense vs Toledo defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
