Model line
Buffalo −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 64%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Buffalo a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kent St. offense vs Buffalo defense
| Kent St. O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#24 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 51.4#179 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 18.0#269 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 35.3#40 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 43.5#14 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 9.6#199 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 57.1#71 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 50.6#229 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 35.0#115 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 74.4#106 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#70 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Kent St. defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Kent St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #2472.0 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #21952.1 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #21916.1 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #12529.3 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #29439.5 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #1729.4 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #25555.1 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #18351.8 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #24535.0 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #6743.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kent St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 58–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Akron100 | L 68–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio167 | W 86–75 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 86–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 102–76 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
