Model line
Buffalo −12.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 91%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Buffalo a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Michigan offense vs Buffalo defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
