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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Toledo · #144 · MAC · 0–0Miami OH · #108 · MAC · 0–0Tue, Feb 16 · 7:00 PM ETMillett Hall · Oxford, OH
Model line
Miami OH −11.4
Win probability
Miami OH 89%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Miami OH home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Miami OH a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Toledo offense vs Miami OH defense

Toledo OStatMiami OH D
69.5#117Tempo#5770.9
54.5#53eFG%#16951.2
14.7#53TOV%#12517.4
29.5#221ORB%#9228.7
30.5#298FT rate#6430.2
8.5#105Block%#2628.0
53.1#164Assist%#5047.2
54.0#862P%#19352.0
37.0#293P%#12733.1
75.4#69FT%—
32.5#3243PA rate#27736.5

Miami OH offense vs Toledo defense

Miami OH OStatToledo D
70.9#57Tempo#11769.5
58.6#7eFG%#30954.3
14.3#32TOV%#10617.9
25.5#331ORB%#31433.7
39.6#65FT rate#1826.6
7.7#38Block%#2747.8
51.4#208Assist%#13950.8
61.0#42P%#33156.1
37.1#263P%#21434.4
74.9#85FT%—
45.6#553PA rate#16240.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Toledo

Sat, Mar 14NAkron100L 76–79
Fri, Mar 13NMassachusetts166W 77–67
Thu, Mar 12NBowling Green192W 77–76
Fri, Mar 6HBuffalo191W 99–78
Tue, Mar 3AMiami OH108L 72–74

Miami OH

Fri, Mar 20NTennessee11L 56–78
Wed, Mar 18NSMU59W 89–79
Thu, Mar 12NMassachusetts166L 83–87
Fri, Mar 6AOhio167W 110–108
Tue, Mar 3HToledo144W 74–72