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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Central Michigan · #272 · MAC · 0–0Ohio · #167 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 2:00 PM ETConvocation Center (OH) · Athens, OH
Model line
Ohio −12.6
Win probability
Ohio 91%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Ohio home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Ohio a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Central Michigan offense vs Ohio defense

Central Michigan OStatOhio D
68.3#182Tempo#7770.4
51.8#153eFG%#27053.0
18.1#274TOV%#22016.1
29.2#228ORB%#29132.8
31.4#271FT rate#26538.2
8.8#132Block%#2188.6
54.9#116Assist%#6047.7
52.2#1612P%#18851.9
33.9#1783P%#34236.8
69.7#278FT%—
34.0#2943PA rate#34033.6

Ohio offense vs Central Michigan defense

Ohio OStatCentral Michigan D
70.4#77Tempo#18268.3
50.9#199eFG%#30054.0
15.5#106TOV%#15217.0
28.4#249ORB%#32234.3
36.9#133FT rate#28439.0
7.5#32Block%#6111.6
46.6#309Assist%#31357.9
54.5#752P%#28954.4
30.1#3413P%#28035.5
71.0#237FT%—
38.1#2133PA rate#21638.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Central Michigan

Fri, Mar 6ABall St.220L 69–85
Tue, Mar 3HAkron100L 64–77
Sat, Feb 28ABuffalo191W 75–70
Tue, Feb 24AKent St.126L 81–83
Sat, Feb 21HWestern Michigan173W 83–70

Ohio

Thu, Mar 12NKent St.126L 75–86
Fri, Mar 6HMiami OH108L 108–110
Tue, Mar 3AMassachusetts166L 82–94
Sat, Feb 28HToledo144L 67–79
Sat, Feb 21ANorthern Illinois278W 74–66