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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Eastern Michigan · #176 · MAC · 0–0Massachusetts · #166 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 12:30 PM ETMullins Center · Amherst, MA
Model line
Massachusetts −9.0
Win probability
Massachusetts 83%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
17%Win probability83%

The model makes Massachusetts a 9.0-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Eastern Michigan offense vs Massachusetts defense

Eastern Michigan OStatMassachusetts D
68.4#176Tempo#4571.2
49.6#256eFG%#26452.9
17.4#226TOV%#16616.8
27.8#273ORB%#1926.1
29.3#325FT rate#34844.6
9.7#207Block%#3216.7
47.9#289Assist%#32958.6
50.0#2512P%#31655.4
32.4#2593P%#12033.0
73.2#163FT%—
31.8#3313PA rate#7842.7

Massachusetts offense vs Eastern Michigan defense

Massachusetts OStatEastern Michigan D
71.2#45Tempo#17668.4
53.1#98eFG%#11650.3
17.8#259TOV%#24515.6
33.3#83ORB%#10929.1
37.0#130FT rate#19535.5
7.6#35Block%#9410.9
58.4#52Assist%#15051.3
53.2#1212P%#12850.8
35.2#1053P%#11232.9
67.3#339FT%—
35.4#2643PA rate#30235.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Eastern Michigan

Fri, Mar 6HBowling Green192L 69–77
Tue, Mar 3ABuffalo191L 67–72
Tue, Feb 24HMiami OH108L 64–74
Sat, Feb 21AToledo144L 75–94
Tue, Feb 17HCentral Michigan272W 66–54

Massachusetts

Fri, Mar 13NToledo144L 67–77
Thu, Mar 12NMiami OH108W 87–83
Tue, Mar 3HOhio167W 94–82
Sat, Feb 28ABowling Green192L 62–81
Tue, Feb 24ABall St.220L 73–74