Model line
Toledo −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 86%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Toledo home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Toledo a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Michigan offense vs Toledo defense
| Western Michigan O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#150 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 49.9#242 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 16.9#197 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 30.5#182 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 32.8#243 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 11.9#339 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 48.1#285 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 48.1#308 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 35.3#103 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 74.4#109 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#248 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Western Michigan defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Western Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #15069.0 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #31354.4 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #34713.4 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #11829.1 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #25137.5 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #2887.6 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #22253.9 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #30054.5 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #30836.1 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #5243.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Kent St.126 | L 78–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ball St.220 | L 71–74 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Miami OH108 | L 67–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Bowling Green192 | W 88–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Central Michigan272 | L 70–83 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
