Model line
Miami OH −0.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami OH 51%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Ball St. home
51%Win probability49%
The model makes Miami OH a 0.3-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami OH offense vs Ball St. defense
| Miami OH O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#57 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 58.6#7 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 14.3#32 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 25.5#331 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 39.6#65 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 7.7#38 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 51.4#208 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 61.0#4 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 37.1#26 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 74.9#85 | FT% | — |
| 45.6#55 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Ball St. offense vs Miami OH defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Miami OH D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #5770.9 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #16951.2 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #12517.4 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #9228.7 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #6430.2 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #2628.0 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #5047.2 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #19352.0 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #12733.1 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #27736.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami OH
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee11 | L 56–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | SMU59 | W 89–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Massachusetts166 | L 83–87 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ohio167 | W 110–108 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Toledo144 | W 74–72 |
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
