Model line
Buffalo −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 78%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Buffalo a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs Buffalo defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Ohio defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
