Model line
Eastern Michigan −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Eastern Michigan 62%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Eastern Michigan home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Eastern Michigan a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Toledo offense vs Eastern Michigan defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Eastern Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4#48 | Tempo | #20266.7 |
| 43.8#179 | eFG% | #10148.4 |
| 21.2#174 | TOV% | #9219.5 |
| 34.9#78 | ORB% | #17936.8 |
| 11.0#238 | FT rate | #6526.2 |
| 8.7#111 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 72.4#22 | Assist% | #2034.6 |
| 50.0#139 | 2P% | #12051.4 |
| 22.2#205 | 3P% | #9229.2 |
| 75.0#72 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#166 | 3PA rate | #14039.3 |
Eastern Michigan offense vs Toledo defense
| Eastern Michigan O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#202 | Tempo | #4875.4 |
| 45.3#167 | eFG% | #6343.6 |
| 10.5#10 | TOV% | #20713.3 |
| 23.5#194 | ORB% | #15834.0 |
| 54.7#34 | FT rate | #10032.9 |
| 20.5#228 | Block% | #1269.1 |
| 52.4#131 | Assist% | #16860.0 |
| 38.5#216 | 2P% | #5042.4 |
| 42.9#35 | 3P% | #9829.7 |
| 79.3#45 | FT% | — |
| 26.4#232 | 3PA rate | #3452.9 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Toledo
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Arkansas St.178 | L 70–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron97 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts143 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green180 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo258 | W 99–78 |
Eastern Michigan
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Coastal Carolina255 | W 71–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Bowling Green180 | L 69–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Buffalo258 | L 67–72 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Miami OH107 | L 64–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Toledo154 | L 75–94 |
