Model line
Ohio −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio 62%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Ohio home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Ohio a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami OH offense vs Ohio defense
| Miami OH O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#57 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 58.6#7 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 14.3#32 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 25.5#331 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 39.6#65 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 7.7#38 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 51.4#208 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 61.0#4 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 37.1#26 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 74.9#85 | FT% | — |
| 45.6#55 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Ohio offense vs Miami OH defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Miami OH D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #5770.9 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #16951.2 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #12517.4 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #9228.7 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #6430.2 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2628.0 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #5047.2 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #19352.0 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #12733.1 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #27736.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami OH
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee11 | L 56–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | SMU59 | W 89–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Massachusetts166 | L 83–87 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ohio167 | W 110–108 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Toledo144 | W 74–72 |
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
