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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Eastern Michigan · #176 · MAC · 0–0Buffalo · #191 · MAC · 0–0Tue, Jan 26 · 6:30 PM ETBroadview Arena · Buffalo, NY
Model line
Buffalo −6.9
Win probability
Buffalo 77%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes Buffalo a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Eastern Michigan offense vs Buffalo defense

Eastern Michigan OStatBuffalo D
68.4#176Tempo#21767.6
49.6#256eFG%#33355.1
17.4#226TOV%#10317.9
27.8#273ORB%#20431.1
29.3#325FT rate#8931.4
9.7#207Block%#2358.4
47.9#289Assist%#33058.8
50.0#2512P%#34156.9
32.4#2593P%#24935.1
73.2#163FT%—
31.8#3313PA rate#9642.0

Buffalo offense vs Eastern Michigan defense

Buffalo OStatEastern Michigan D
67.6#217Tempo#17668.4
55.4#32eFG%#11650.3
16.2#152TOV%#24515.6
27.1#293ORB%#10929.1
39.6#63FT rate#19535.5
8.1#63Block%#9410.9
54.4#128Assist%#15051.3
54.1#822P%#12850.8
37.9#193P%#11232.9
73.6#145FT%—
45.5#573PA rate#30235.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Eastern Michigan

Fri, Mar 6HBowling Green192L 69–77
Tue, Mar 3ABuffalo191L 67–72
Tue, Feb 24HMiami OH108L 64–74
Sat, Feb 21AToledo144L 75–94
Tue, Feb 17HCentral Michigan272W 66–54

Buffalo

Thu, Mar 12NAkron100L 70–73
Fri, Mar 6AToledo144L 78–99
Tue, Mar 3HEastern Michigan176W 72–67
Sat, Feb 28HCentral Michigan272L 70–75
Tue, Feb 24AAkron100L 85–99