Model line
Akron −13.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Akron 91%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Akron home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Akron a 13.0-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs Akron defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Akron D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #5271.0 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #16551.2 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #8218.3 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #15229.9 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #7030.4 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2248.5 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #14250.9 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #8449.6 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #27635.5 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #6643.1 |
Akron offense vs Ohio defense
| Akron O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#52 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 58.2#9 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 15.5#103 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 33.4#80 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 29.2#327 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 8.4#88 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 57.1#70 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 58.8#14 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 38.2#16 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 75.4#67 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#72 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
Akron
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Texas Tech12 | L 71–91 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Toledo144 | W 79–76 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kent St.126 | W 75–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Buffalo191 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Northern Illinois278 | W 94–55 |
