Model line
Massachusetts −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 76%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Massachusetts a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs Ohio defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
