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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Michigan · #173 · MAC · 0–0Central Michigan · #272 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 12:00 AM ETMcGuirk Arena · Mount Pleasant, MI
Model line
Central Michigan −2.8
Win probability
Central Michigan 62%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Central Michigan home
39%Win probability62%

The model makes Central Michigan a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Michigan offense vs Central Michigan defense

Western Michigan OStatCentral Michigan D
69.0#150Tempo#18268.3
49.9#242eFG%#30054.0
16.9#197TOV%#15217.0
30.5#182ORB%#32234.3
32.8#243FT rate#28439.0
11.9#339Block%#6111.6
48.1#285Assist%#31357.9
48.1#3082P%#28954.4
35.3#1033P%#28035.5
74.4#109FT%—
36.1#2483PA rate#21638.4

Central Michigan offense vs Western Michigan defense

Central Michigan OStatWestern Michigan D
68.3#182Tempo#15069.0
51.8#153eFG%#31354.4
18.1#274TOV%#34713.4
29.2#228ORB%#11829.1
31.4#271FT rate#25137.5
8.8#132Block%#2887.6
54.9#116Assist%#22253.9
52.2#1612P%#30054.5
33.9#1783P%#30836.1
69.7#278FT%—
34.0#2943PA rate#5243.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Michigan

Fri, Mar 6AKent St.126L 78–86
Tue, Mar 3HBall St.220L 71–74
Fri, Feb 27HMiami OH108L 67–69
Tue, Feb 24ABowling Green192W 88–79
Sat, Feb 21ACentral Michigan272L 70–83

Central Michigan

Fri, Mar 6ABall St.220L 69–85
Tue, Mar 3HAkron100L 64–77
Sat, Feb 28ABuffalo191W 75–70
Tue, Feb 24AKent St.126L 81–83
Sat, Feb 21HWestern Michigan173W 83–70