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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Buffalo · #191 · MAC · 0–0Miami OH · #108 · MAC · 0–0Tue, Jan 19 · 7:00 PM ETMillett Hall · Oxford, OH
Model line
Miami OH −13.8
Win probability
Miami OH 93%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Miami OH home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes Miami OH a 13.8-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Buffalo offense vs Miami OH defense

Buffalo OStatMiami OH D
67.6#217Tempo#5770.9
55.4#32eFG%#16951.2
16.2#152TOV%#12517.4
27.1#293ORB%#9228.7
39.6#63FT rate#6430.2
8.1#63Block%#2628.0
54.4#128Assist%#5047.2
54.1#822P%#19352.0
37.9#193P%#12733.1
73.6#145FT%—
45.5#573PA rate#27736.5

Miami OH offense vs Buffalo defense

Miami OH OStatBuffalo D
70.9#57Tempo#21767.6
58.6#7eFG%#33355.1
14.3#32TOV%#10317.9
25.5#331ORB%#20431.1
39.6#65FT rate#8931.4
7.7#38Block%#2358.4
51.4#208Assist%#33058.8
61.0#42P%#34156.9
37.1#263P%#24935.1
74.9#85FT%—
45.6#553PA rate#9642.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Buffalo

Thu, Mar 12NAkron100L 70–73
Fri, Mar 6AToledo144L 78–99
Tue, Mar 3HEastern Michigan176W 72–67
Sat, Feb 28HCentral Michigan272L 70–75
Tue, Feb 24AAkron100L 85–99

Miami OH

Fri, Mar 20NTennessee11L 56–78
Wed, Mar 18NSMU59W 89–79
Thu, Mar 12NMassachusetts166L 83–87
Fri, Mar 6AOhio167W 110–108
Tue, Mar 3HToledo144W 74–72