Model line
Ohio −8.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio 83%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Ohio home
18%Win probability83%
The model makes Ohio a 8.9-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Michigan offense vs Ohio defense
| Western Michigan O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#150 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 49.9#242 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 16.9#197 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 30.5#182 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 32.8#243 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 11.9#339 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 48.1#285 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 48.1#308 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 35.3#103 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 74.4#109 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#248 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Ohio offense vs Western Michigan defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Western Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #15069.0 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #31354.4 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #34713.4 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #11829.1 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #25137.5 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2887.6 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #22253.9 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #30054.5 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #30836.1 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #5243.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Kent St.126 | L 78–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ball St.220 | L 71–74 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Miami OH108 | L 67–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Bowling Green192 | W 88–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Central Michigan272 | L 70–83 |
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
