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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Central Michigan · #272 · MAC · 0–0Massachusetts · #166 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 3:30 PM ETMullins Center · Amherst, MA
Model line
Massachusetts −13.5
Win probability
Massachusetts 92%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
8%Win probability92%

The model makes Massachusetts a 13.5-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Central Michigan offense vs Massachusetts defense

Central Michigan OStatMassachusetts D
68.3#182Tempo#4571.2
51.8#153eFG%#26452.9
18.1#274TOV%#16616.8
29.2#228ORB%#1926.1
31.4#271FT rate#34844.6
8.8#132Block%#3216.7
54.9#116Assist%#32958.6
52.2#1612P%#31655.4
33.9#1783P%#12033.0
69.7#278FT%—
34.0#2943PA rate#7842.7

Massachusetts offense vs Central Michigan defense

Massachusetts OStatCentral Michigan D
71.2#45Tempo#18268.3
53.1#98eFG%#30054.0
17.8#259TOV%#15217.0
33.3#83ORB%#32234.3
37.0#130FT rate#28439.0
7.6#35Block%#6111.6
58.4#52Assist%#31357.9
53.2#1212P%#28954.4
35.2#1053P%#28035.5
67.3#339FT%—
35.4#2643PA rate#21638.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Central Michigan

Fri, Mar 6ABall St.220L 69–85
Tue, Mar 3HAkron100L 64–77
Sat, Feb 28ABuffalo191W 75–70
Tue, Feb 24AKent St.126L 81–83
Sat, Feb 21HWestern Michigan173W 83–70

Massachusetts

Fri, Mar 13NToledo144L 67–77
Thu, Mar 12NMiami OH108W 87–83
Tue, Mar 3HOhio167W 94–82
Sat, Feb 28ABowling Green192L 62–81
Tue, Feb 24ABall St.220L 73–74