Model line
Toledo −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 65%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Toledo home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Toledo a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Akron offense vs Toledo defense
| Akron O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#52 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 58.2#9 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 15.5#103 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 33.4#80 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 29.2#327 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 8.4#88 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 57.1#70 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 58.8#14 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 38.2#16 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 75.4#67 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#72 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Akron defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Akron D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #5271.0 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #16551.2 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #8218.3 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #15229.9 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #7030.4 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #2248.5 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #14250.9 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #8449.6 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #27635.5 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #6643.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Akron
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Texas Tech12 | L 71–91 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Toledo144 | W 79–76 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kent St.126 | W 75–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Buffalo191 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Northern Illinois278 | W 94–55 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
