Model line
Buffalo −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 79%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Buffalo a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bowling Green offense vs Buffalo defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
