Model line
Bowling Green −9.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Bowling Green 83%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Bowling Green home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Bowling Green a 9.1-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Bowling Green offense vs Ball St. defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
