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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Eastern Michigan · #176 · MAC · 0–0Western Michigan · #173 · MAC · 0–0Tue, Jan 5 · 7:00 PM ETUniversity Arena (MI) · Kalamazoo, MI
Model line
Western Michigan −7.4
Win probability
Western Michigan 78%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Western Michigan home
22%Win probability78%

The model makes Western Michigan a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Eastern Michigan offense vs Western Michigan defense

Eastern Michigan OStatWestern Michigan D
68.4#176Tempo#15069.0
49.6#256eFG%#31354.4
17.4#226TOV%#34713.4
27.8#273ORB%#11829.1
29.3#325FT rate#25137.5
9.7#207Block%#2887.6
47.9#289Assist%#22253.9
50.0#2512P%#30054.5
32.4#2593P%#30836.1
73.2#163FT%—
31.8#3313PA rate#5243.7

Western Michigan offense vs Eastern Michigan defense

Western Michigan OStatEastern Michigan D
69.0#150Tempo#17668.4
49.9#242eFG%#11650.3
16.9#197TOV%#24515.6
30.5#182ORB%#10929.1
32.8#243FT rate#19535.5
11.9#339Block%#9410.9
48.1#285Assist%#15051.3
48.1#3082P%#12850.8
35.3#1033P%#11232.9
74.4#109FT%—
36.1#2483PA rate#30235.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Eastern Michigan

Fri, Mar 6HBowling Green192L 69–77
Tue, Mar 3ABuffalo191L 67–72
Tue, Feb 24HMiami OH108L 64–74
Sat, Feb 21AToledo144L 75–94
Tue, Feb 17HCentral Michigan272W 66–54

Western Michigan

Fri, Mar 6AKent St.126L 78–86
Tue, Mar 3HBall St.220L 71–74
Fri, Feb 27HMiami OH108L 67–69
Tue, Feb 24ABowling Green192W 88–79
Sat, Feb 21ACentral Michigan272L 70–83