Model line
Toledo −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Toledo 70%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Toledo home
31%Win probability70%
The model makes Toledo a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami OH offense vs Toledo defense
| Miami OH O | Stat | Toledo D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#57 | Tempo | #11769.5 |
| 58.6#7 | eFG% | #30954.3 |
| 14.3#32 | TOV% | #10617.9 |
| 25.5#331 | ORB% | #31433.7 |
| 39.6#65 | FT rate | #1826.6 |
| 7.7#38 | Block% | #2747.8 |
| 51.4#208 | Assist% | #13950.8 |
| 61.0#4 | 2P% | #33156.1 |
| 37.1#26 | 3P% | #21434.4 |
| 74.9#85 | FT% | — |
| 45.6#55 | 3PA rate | #16240.0 |
Toledo offense vs Miami OH defense
| Toledo O | Stat | Miami OH D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#117 | Tempo | #5770.9 |
| 54.5#53 | eFG% | #16951.2 |
| 14.7#53 | TOV% | #12517.4 |
| 29.5#221 | ORB% | #9228.7 |
| 30.5#298 | FT rate | #6430.2 |
| 8.5#105 | Block% | #2628.0 |
| 53.1#164 | Assist% | #5047.2 |
| 54.0#86 | 2P% | #19352.0 |
| 37.0#29 | 3P% | #12733.1 |
| 75.4#69 | FT% | — |
| 32.5#324 | 3PA rate | #27736.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami OH
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee11 | L 56–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | SMU59 | W 89–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Massachusetts166 | L 83–87 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ohio167 | W 110–108 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Toledo144 | W 74–72 |
Toledo
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Akron100 | L 76–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Massachusetts166 | W 77–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Bowling Green192 | W 77–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Buffalo191 | W 99–78 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Miami OH108 | L 72–74 |
