Model line
Buffalo −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 76%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Buffalo a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Massachusetts offense vs Buffalo defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
