Model line
Massachusetts −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 88%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Massachusetts a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ball St. offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs Ball St. defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
