Model line
Massachusetts −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 56%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Massachusetts a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Akron offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Akron O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#52 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 58.2#9 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 15.5#103 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 33.4#80 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 29.2#327 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 8.4#88 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 57.1#70 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 58.8#14 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 38.2#16 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 75.4#67 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#72 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs Akron defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Akron D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #5271.0 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #16551.2 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #8218.3 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #15229.9 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #7030.4 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2248.5 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #14250.9 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #8449.6 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #27635.5 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #6643.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Akron
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Texas Tech12 | L 71–91 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Toledo144 | W 79–76 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kent St.126 | W 75–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Buffalo191 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Northern Illinois278 | W 94–55 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
