Model line
Arkansas −36.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas >99%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arkansas a 36.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Michigan offense vs Arkansas defense
| Central Michigan O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#182 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 51.8#153 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 18.1#274 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 29.2#228 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 31.4#271 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 8.8#132 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 54.9#116 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 52.2#161 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 33.9#178 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 69.7#278 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#294 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Central Michigan defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Central Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #18268.3 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #30054.0 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #15217.0 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #32234.3 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #28439.0 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #6111.6 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #31357.9 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #28954.4 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #28035.5 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #21638.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Ball St.220 | L 69–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Akron100 | L 64–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Buffalo191 | W 75–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Kent St.126 | L 81–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Western Michigan173 | W 83–70 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
