Model line
Rhode Island −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rhode Island 88%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Rhode Island home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Rhode Island a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Buffalo offense vs Rhode Island defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Rhode Island D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #29866.0 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #12250.4 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #1021.1 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #24731.8 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #33542.6 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #5112.0 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #22754.1 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #7449.3 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #23334.7 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #11041.5 |
Rhode Island offense vs Buffalo defense
| Rhode Island O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#298 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 50.1#231 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 19.2#329 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 31.0#165 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 38.4#93 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 10.2#253 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 47.9#290 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 52.8#137 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 31.1#316 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 72.1#207 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#102 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
Rhode Island
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duquesne128 | L 61–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Fordham111 | L 49–61 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Duquesne128 | W 64–52 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 55–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | St. Bonaventure158 | L 76–94 |
