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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Ball St. · #220 · MAC · 0–0Miami OH · #108 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Dec 19 · 1:00 PM ETESPN+Millett Hall · Oxford, OH
Model line
Miami OH −15.1
Win probability
Miami OH 94%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Miami OH home
6%Win probability94%

The model makes Miami OH a 15.1-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Ball St. offense vs Miami OH defense

Ball St. OStatMiami OH D
65.4#318Tempo#5770.9
47.0#336eFG%#16951.2
16.2#151TOV%#12517.4
27.1#292ORB%#9228.7
31.6#264FT rate#6430.2
10.9#294Block%#2628.0
53.6#145Assist%#5047.2
47.0#3312P%#19352.0
31.4#3083P%#12733.1
71.0#235FT%—
39.4#1833PA rate#27736.5

Miami OH offense vs Ball St. defense

Miami OH OStatBall St. D
70.9#57Tempo#31865.4
58.6#7eFG%#24952.7
14.3#32TOV%#6118.7
25.5#331ORB%#19931.0
39.6#65FT rate#10632.1
7.7#38Block%#2468.2
51.4#208Assist%#22654.1
61.0#42P%#23953.0
37.1#263P%#23434.8
74.9#85FT%—
45.6#553PA rate#11741.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Ball St.

Fri, Mar 6HCentral Michigan272W 85–69
Tue, Mar 3AWestern Michigan173W 74–71
Sat, Feb 28ANorthern Illinois278W 79–43
Tue, Feb 24HMassachusetts166W 74–73
Fri, Feb 20HAkron100L 65–78

Miami OH

Fri, Mar 20NTennessee11L 56–78
Wed, Mar 18NSMU59W 89–79
Thu, Mar 12NMassachusetts166L 83–87
Fri, Mar 6AOhio167W 110–108
Tue, Mar 3HToledo144W 74–72