Model line
Ball St. −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ball St. 70%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Ball St. home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Ball St. a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs Ball St. defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Ball St. offense vs Ohio defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
