Model line
Buffalo −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 54%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Buffalo a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Akron offense vs Buffalo defense
| Akron O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#52 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 58.2#9 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 15.5#103 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 33.4#80 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 29.2#327 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 8.4#88 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 57.1#70 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 58.8#14 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 38.2#16 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 75.4#67 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#72 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Akron defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Akron D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #5271.0 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #16551.2 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #8218.3 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #15229.9 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #7030.4 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #2248.5 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #14250.9 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #8449.6 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #27635.5 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #6643.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Akron
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Texas Tech12 | L 71–91 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Toledo144 | W 79–76 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kent St.126 | W 75–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Buffalo191 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Northern Illinois278 | W 94–55 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
