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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Central Michigan · #272 · MAC · 0–0Eastern Michigan · #176 · MAC · 0–0Sat, Dec 12 · 2:00 PM ETESPN+Gervin GameAbove Center · Ypsilanti, MI
Model line
Eastern Michigan −12.6
Win probability
Eastern Michigan 91%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Eastern Michigan home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Eastern Michigan a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Central Michigan offense vs Eastern Michigan defense

Central Michigan OStatEastern Michigan D
68.3#182Tempo#17668.4
51.8#153eFG%#11650.3
18.1#274TOV%#24515.6
29.2#228ORB%#10929.1
31.4#271FT rate#19535.5
8.8#132Block%#9410.9
54.9#116Assist%#15051.3
52.2#1612P%#12850.8
33.9#1783P%#11232.9
69.7#278FT%—
34.0#2943PA rate#30235.6

Eastern Michigan offense vs Central Michigan defense

Eastern Michigan OStatCentral Michigan D
68.4#176Tempo#18268.3
49.6#256eFG%#30054.0
17.4#226TOV%#15217.0
27.8#273ORB%#32234.3
29.3#325FT rate#28439.0
9.7#207Block%#6111.6
47.9#289Assist%#31357.9
50.0#2512P%#28954.4
32.4#2593P%#28035.5
73.2#163FT%—
31.8#3313PA rate#21638.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Central Michigan

Fri, Mar 6ABall St.220L 69–85
Tue, Mar 3HAkron100L 64–77
Sat, Feb 28ABuffalo191W 75–70
Tue, Feb 24AKent St.126L 81–83
Sat, Feb 21HWestern Michigan173W 83–70

Eastern Michigan

Fri, Mar 6HBowling Green192L 69–77
Tue, Mar 3ABuffalo191L 67–72
Tue, Feb 24HMiami OH108L 64–74
Sat, Feb 21AToledo144L 75–94
Tue, Feb 17HCentral Michigan272W 66–54