Model line
Buffalo −11.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 88%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Buffalo a 11.2-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue Fort Wayne offense vs Buffalo defense
| Purdue Fort Wayne O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#149 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 52.6#120 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 14.5#42 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 22.9#351 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 30.6#291 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 8.3#81 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 49.8#246 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 53.7#95 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 34.2#165 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 70.7#250 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#61 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Purdue Fort Wayne defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Purdue Fort Wayne D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #14969.0 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #34656.1 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #4519.1 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #32634.5 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #3628.5 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #1959.1 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #27755.9 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #31755.5 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #35537.9 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #4344.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue Fort Wayne
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Green Bay210 | L 56–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | IU Indy311 | W 87–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wright St.150 | L 70–74 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 92–86 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Northern Kentucky217 | L 71–87 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
